Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.730554 0.848405 0.976360 1.125242 1.293332 1.476843 1.691951
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.541134 0.699044 0.886163 1.122626 1.411699 1.751709 2.179844
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.441141 0.623936 0.857029 1.172199 1.582811 2.094783 2.775856
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.365232 0.559840 0.824467 1.203670 1.724907 2.406945 3.355769
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.321366 0.528347 0.825809 1.273535 1.917044 2.793073 4.056732
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.267925 0.471878 0.781188 1.269168 2.000689 3.033923 4.574915
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.223250 0.420059 0.734176 1.252044 2.059131 3.238076 5.050164
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.188743 0.378191 0.695468 1.240387 2.120457 3.445842 5.538959
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.166846 0.353995 0.681304 1.264273 2.235772 3.738233 6.167152
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.147044 0.329959 0.663603 1.278950 2.335369 4.010504 6.778381
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.129225 0.306450 0.643283 1.285815 2.420757 4.263590 7.371900
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.117053 0.292098 0.637525 1.316854 2.547796 4.589094 8.095362
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.103001 0.271704 0.618399 1.322797 2.634103 4.857388 8.749498
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.086102 0.241738 0.576340 1.280960 2.631822 4.977647 9.168878
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.079054 0.233327 0.577090 1.321662 2.782168 5.365734 10.054609
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071850 0.223108 0.572531 1.350911 2.912722 5.726199 10.911212
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068778 0.222859 0.589647 1.425849 3.135104 6.260132 12.091311
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.060497 0.207039 0.569462 1.420208 3.200079 6.514784 12.795893
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.052501 0.190191 0.544398 1.401029 3.235883 6.716969 13.415826
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.045926 0.175920 0.523360 1.388069 3.282266 6.939683 14.080938
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042075 0.169103 0.519882 1.414344 3.411010 7.323318 15.055182
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038161 0.161183 0.512445 1.430496 3.519180 7.672585 15.980765
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.034317 0.152560 0.501910 1.438051 3.609070 7.990403 16.860820